MEMBERS · CHAPTER · THE RISK X-RAY

The Risk X-Ray

Finding good coins is only half the game. Staying alive long enough for them to pay off is the other half. The Risk X-Ray is a mirror: it shows you the real risk hiding in your portfolio — the stuff that quietly wrecks people — in plain language, before the market teaches it the expensive way.

iIn one sentence

It reads the coins you already track in your Portfolio Manager and tells you: are you really spread out, is one coin too big, and how bad would a crash hurt?

A MIRROR, NOT A CRYSTAL BALLIt measures the past to show your current risk. It can't predict the future and it is not financial advice. It helps you make your own smarter decision. NFA · DYOR.

01Do this first (2 minutes)

  1. Put your coins in the Portfolio Manager. The X-Ray reads from there. Add each coin you own with how many units you hold. It's private and lives on your device. Open Portfolio Manager →
  2. Open the Risk X-Ray. Find it under the Desks menu, or tap the button. Open Risk X-Ray →
  3. Click "Load my portfolio & scan." It reads your coins and crunches about 90 days of history. Give it a few seconds.
NO PORTFOLIO YET?You can also click "Enter holdings manually" and type one coin per line as coingecko-id, amount — for example bitcoin, 0.5. Great for a quick test.

02Reading each panel — in plain words

Portfolio at a glance

Six simple scorecards. The two that matter most:

What to watch

Plain-English warnings pulled from your numbers — e.g. "you hold 10 coins but they move like ~2 bets," or "this small position carries a big share of your risk." Red = pay attention; amber = note it.

Position breakdown & sizing

A table of every coin with three important columns:

How together do they move? (the color grid)

Each square shows how two coins move together. Red = they rise and fall as one (little protection). Green = they move independently (good spread). Blue means one tends to zig when the other zags.

Crash stress test

"If Bitcoin falls 10 / 30 / 50%, here's roughly how your whole book moves — in percent and in dollars." It turns a vague fear into a real number you can prepare for.

Unlock Watch (beta)

Some tokens release big batches of new supply on a schedule, which can push the price down. This panel gives each of your coins a one-tap link to its live unlock schedule so you're never blindsided. (Inline alerts are coming.)

03How to actually use it

  1. Run it monthly, and before any big buy. Risk creeps up quietly — a monthly check catches it.
  2. If "real bets" is low, you're concentrated even if you own many coins. Consider whether you truly want that.
  3. If one coin's risk share dwarfs its weight, that single coin is driving your outcome — size it on purpose, not by accident.
  4. Look at the worst stress number and ask: "Could I stomach that? Do I have a plan if it happens?" If not, that's your signal to trim or set exits.
PAIR IT WITH BRIGITTEThe X-Ray shows the risk; Brigitte helps you act — arm a thesis, set a stop and take-profit, and let the Vigil watch your reason. See the Recipes for the full play.